Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Charlotte is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-8.4 MISS advantage — 20-point index gap over Charlotte (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). MISS Above average.
-8.4 MISS advantage — 20-point index gap over Charlotte (explosive pass rate and yards per target). MISS Above average.
-4.6 MISS advantage — 11-point index gap over Charlotte (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). MISS Above average.
-5.5 MISS advantage — 13-point index gap over Charlotte (line yards against stuff rate). MISS Above average.
-6.3 MISS advantage — 15-point index gap over Charlotte (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). MISS Above average.
-5.0 MISS advantage — 12-point index gap over Charlotte (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). MISS FBS average.
-8.4 MISS advantage — 20-point index gap over Charlotte (pressure differential in the trenches). MISS Above average.
-10.5 MISS advantage — 25-point index gap over Charlotte (coverage grade against target efficiency). MISS Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.