Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Charlotte is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-4.6 APP advantage — 11-point index gap over Charlotte (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). APP FBS average.
-3.4 APP advantage — 8-point index gap over Charlotte (explosive pass rate and yards per target). APP FBS average.
Even matchup — both units index the same
Even matchup — both units index the same
-0.8 APP advantage — 2-point index gap over Charlotte (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). APP FBS average.
-3.4 APP advantage — 8-point index gap over Charlotte (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). APP FBS average.
-1.3 APP advantage — 3-point index gap over Charlotte (pressure differential in the trenches). APP FBS average.
-5.5 APP advantage — 13-point index gap over Charlotte (coverage grade against target efficiency). APP FBS average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.