Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-9.2 FLA advantage — 22-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). FLA Top 25 level.
-9.2 FLA advantage — 22-point index gap over Colorado (explosive pass rate and yards per target). FLA Top 25 level.
-8.0 FLA advantage — 19-point index gap over Colorado (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). FLA Top 25 level.
-1.3 FLA advantage — 3-point index gap over Colorado (line yards against stuff rate). FLA FBS average.
-3.8 FLA advantage — 9-point index gap over Colorado (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). FLA Above average.
-7.6 FLA advantage — 18-point index gap over Colorado (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). FLA Above average.
-3.8 FLA advantage — 9-point index gap over Colorado (pressure differential in the trenches). FLA Above average.
-8.8 FLA advantage — 21-point index gap over Colorado (coverage grade against target efficiency). FLA Top 25 level.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.