Composite projection engine
Matchup Simulator
Color clash detected — Baylor is shown in their alternate road accent for contrast.
Positional unit index — 0 to 100 scale
50 = FBS average · 72+ = Top 25 level · 90+ = elite national top five. Week 3 weighting: 60% preseason roster talent + 40% live 2026 game EPA.
-2.9 AUB advantage — 7-point index gap over Baylor (passing EPA per play, completion rate and yards per attempt). AUB Above average.
-2.5 AUB advantage — 6-point index gap over Baylor (explosive pass rate and yards per target). AUB Above average.
-5.0 AUB advantage — 12-point index gap over Baylor (yards per carry, line yards and rush EPA). AUB Above average.
-7.6 AUB advantage — 18-point index gap over Baylor (line yards against stuff rate). AUB Above average.
-2.5 AUB advantage — 6-point index gap over Baylor (pass-block win rate against pressure rate). AUB Above average.
-4.2 AUB advantage — 10-point index gap over Baylor (passing EPA against coverage efficiency). AUB Above average.
+1.3 BAY advantage — 3-point index gap over Auburn (pressure differential in the trenches). BAY Above average.
-1.3 AUB advantage — 3-point index gap over Baylor (coverage grade against target efficiency). AUB Above average.
Projections use opponent-adjusted efficiency, SOS, and unit-level grades derived from live 2026 team data.