Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
COLO -13.0
COLO 87.9% win · O/U 49.3
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- COLO -8.9
- COLO: 9 portal additions / 7 departures — 2021–2025 archive weighted 49%, incoming portal talent +0.3 pts.
Weber State — Keys to Victory
1Attack through the air
Colorado ranks #97 nationally allowing 237.0 pass yards per game — a softer target than their #23 run defense.
2Protect the turnover edge
Weber State is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Colorado sits at +1.
Colorado — Keys to Victory
1Protect the turnover edge
Colorado is +1 in turnover margin (1 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Weber State sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Colorado averages 307.0 total yards per game (#110 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Leading Rusher
Primary Receiver
Defensive Leader
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
COLO by 12.9
Baseline COLO -13.0
Simulated Total
49.3
Baseline 49.3
Unit Edge
COLO QB
COLO FBS average · WEB Below average
WEB passing vs COLO coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 237.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 9.9 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 70.8% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 12.5% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | 0.428 |
WEB rushing vs COLO run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 51.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 1.7 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 44.4% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 8 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | -0.256 |
COLO passing vs WEB coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 124.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 51.9% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 4.6 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 1.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | 0.071 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 41.2% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 307.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 288.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | +1 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.