Week 2 · Final
10 – 37
Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
MASS -4.0
MASS 64.2% win · O/U 53.9
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- SHU -0.2
Both rosters returned largely intact this cycle, so the 2021–2025 archive keeps its full weight in the preseason baseline.
Sacred Heart — Keys to Victory
1Attack through the air
Massachusetts ranks #120 nationally allowing 319.0 pass yards per game — a softer target than their #10 run defense.
2Protect the turnover edge
Sacred Heart is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Massachusetts sits at +4.
Massachusetts — Keys to Victory
1Protect the turnover edge
Massachusetts is +4 in turnover margin (4 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Sacred Heart sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Massachusetts averages 397.0 total yards per game (#71 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Leading Rusher
Primary Receiver
Defensive Leader
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
MASS by 3.8
Baseline MASS -4.0
Simulated Total
53.9
Baseline 53.9
Unit Edge
MASS QB
MASS FBS average · SHU Below average
SHU passing vs MASS coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 319.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 8.4 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 57.9% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 13.2% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | 0.483 |
SHU rushing vs MASS run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 30.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 1.2 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 21.1% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 7 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | -0.325 |
MASS passing vs SHU coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 197.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 86.4% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 9.0 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 3.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | 0.647 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 36.4% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 397.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 349.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | +4 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.