Week 2 · Final
10 – 45
Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
AKR -7.5
AKR 76.0% win · O/U 52.9
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- AKR -3.5
Both rosters returned largely intact this cycle, so the 2021–2025 archive keeps its full weight in the preseason baseline.
Robert Morris — Keys to Victory
1Attack through the air
Akron ranks #129 nationally allowing 356.0 pass yards per game — a softer target than their #117 run defense.
2Protect the turnover edge
Robert Morris is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Akron sits at -1.
Akron — Keys to Victory
1Fix the turnover margin
Akron is -1 in turnover margin (0 forced, 1 lost) across 1 recorded games; Robert Morris sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Akron averages 305.0 total yards per game (#111 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Leading Rusher
Primary Receiver
Defensive Leader
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
AKR by 7.5
Baseline AKR -7.5
Simulated Total
52.9
Baseline 52.9
Unit Edge
AKR QB
AKR Below average · RMU Below average
RMU passing vs AKR coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 356.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 10.2 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 62.9% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 0.0% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | 0.716 |
RMU rushing vs AKR run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 203.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 6.2 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 12.5% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 3 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | 0.335 |
AKR passing vs RMU coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 156.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 84.8% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 4.7 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 2.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | 0.067 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 46.2% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 305.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 559.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | -1 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.