Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
CCU -12.5
CCU 86.9% win · O/U 52.3
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- CCU -8.3
- CCU: 0 portal additions / 0 departures, first year under Ryan Beard — 2021–2025 archive weighted 70%, incoming portal talent 0.0 pts.
Fordham — Keys to Victory
1Establish the run
Coastal Carolina ranks #132 nationally allowing 281.0 rush yards per game — softer than their #45 pass defense.
2Protect the turnover edge
Fordham is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Coastal Carolina sits at -1.
Coastal Carolina — Keys to Victory
1Fix the turnover margin
Coastal Carolina is -1 in turnover margin (1 forced, 2 lost) across 1 recorded games; Fordham sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Coastal Carolina averages 425.0 total yards per game (#59 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Leading Rusher
Primary Receiver
Defensive Leader
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
CCU by 12.3
Baseline CCU -12.5
Simulated Total
52.3
Baseline 52.3
Unit Edge
CCU QB
CCU FBS average · FOR Below average
FOR passing vs CCU coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 132.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 9.4 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 78.6% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 7.1% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | 0.636 |
FOR rushing vs CCU run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 281.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 4.6 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 15.0% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 6 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | 0.001 |
CCU passing vs FOR coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 373.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 56.8% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 10.1 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 3.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | 0.457 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 20.0% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 425.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 413.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | -1 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.