Week 3 · Scheduled
VS
Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
WASH -17.5
WASH 93.6% win · O/U 48.3
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- WASH -13.4
- WASH: 4 portal additions / 4 departures — 2021–2025 archive weighted 75%, incoming portal talent −0.9 pts.
Eastern Washington — Keys to Victory
1Establish the run
Washington ranks #60 nationally allowing 100.0 rush yards per game — softer than their #49 pass defense.
2Contain Demond Williams Jr.
Washington's top producer this season: 61 rushing yards (QB). Their production line is the first thing Eastern Washington has to take away.
3Protect the turnover edge
Eastern Washington is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Washington sits at +3.
Washington — Keys to Victory
1Protect the turnover edge
Washington is +3 in turnover margin (3 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Eastern Washington sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Washington averages 402.0 total yards per game (#69 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Demond Williams Jr.WASH · QB
- Passing Yds
- 268
- Completion %
- 68.6%
- Yards / Attempt
- 7.7
- TD : INT
- 1 : 0
- TD/INT Ratio
- No INTs
- Passer Rating
- 142.3
Leading Rusher
Demond Williams Jr.WASH · QB
- Rushing Yds
- 61
- Carries
- 7
- Yards / Carry
- 8.7
- Rushing TD
- 1
- Long
- 21
Primary Receiver
Chris LawsonWASH · WR
- Receiving Yds
- 87
- Receptions
- 4
- Yards / Catch
- 21.8
- Receiving TD
- 0
- Long
- 35
Defensive Leader
Jacob ManuWASH · LB
- Tackles
- 11
- Solo
- 7
- Sacks
- 1.0
- TFL
- 1.0
- INT
- 0
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
WASH by 17.4
Baseline WASH -17.5
Simulated Total
48.3
Baseline 48.3
Unit Edge
WASH QB
WASH FBS average · EU Below average
EU passing vs WASH coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 142.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 5.7 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 64.0% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 12.0% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | -0.084 |
EU rushing vs WASH run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 100.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 3.2 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 31.0% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 8 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | -0.023 |
WASH passing vs EU coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 268.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 68.6% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 7.7 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 1.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | 0.262 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 33.3% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 402.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 242.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | +3 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.