Vegas Line
No market line
No total published
Model Projection
WSU -14.0
WSU 89.6% win · O/U 47.5
Value Edge
No market line
No market total to compare
Model Rationale
Preseason baseline: portal composite talent blended with the 2021–2025 archive by roster continuity.
- Phase
- Preseason baseline
- 2026 sample
- 0 games · 0%
- Historical baseline
- 100%
- Baseline margin
- WSU -10.0
- WSU: 0 portal additions / 1 departures, first year under Kirby Moore — 2021–2025 archive weighted 67%, incoming portal talent −0.4 pts.
Duquesne — Keys to Victory
1Attack through the air
Washington State ranks #109 nationally allowing 268.0 pass yards per game — a softer target than their #82 run defense.
2Contain Caden Pinnick
Washington State's top producer this season: 61 rushing yards (QB). Their production line is the first thing Duquesne has to take away.
3Protect the turnover edge
Duquesne is +0 in turnover margin (0 forced, 0 lost) across 1 recorded games; Washington State sits at -3.
Washington State — Keys to Victory
1Fix the turnover margin
Washington State is -3 in turnover margin (0 forced, 3 lost) across 1 recorded games; Duquesne sits at +0.
2Move the ball efficiently
Washington State averages 242.0 total yards per game (#125 nationally). No market total is published for this game yet.
Key Position Matchups
Quarterbacks
Caden PinnickWSU · QB
- Passing Yds
- 142
- Completion %
- 64.0%
- Yards / Attempt
- 5.7
- TD : INT
- 0 : 2
- TD/INT Ratio
- 0.00:1
- Passer Rating
- 95.7
Leading Rusher
Caden PinnickWSU · QB
- Rushing Yds
- 61
- Carries
- 14
- Yards / Carry
- 4.4
- Rushing TD
- 1
- Long
- 25
Primary Receiver
Daniel BloodWSU · WR
- Receiving Yds
- 57
- Receptions
- 5
- Yards / Catch
- 11.4
- Receiving TD
- 0
- Long
- 32
Defensive Leader
Keith BrownWSU · LB
- Tackles
- 6
- Solo
- 6
- Sacks
- 0.0
- TFL
- 0.0
- INT
- 0
Matchup Simulator
Starts from the CFB 360 projection for this exact game. Turnover swings are valued at 4.2 points each; pace scales the projected total against a 140-play baseline.
Simulated Winner
WSU by 14.0
Baseline WSU -14.0
Simulated Total
47.5
Baseline 47.5
Unit Edge
WSU QB
WSU Below average · DUQ Below average
DUQ passing vs WSU coverage
| 0.0 | Passing YPG vs Pass yards allowed / G | 268.0 |
| 0.0% | Completion % vs Yards / Target allowed | 7.7 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Attempt vs Completion % allowed | 68.6% |
| 0.00:1 | TD / INT ratio vs Sack / pressure rate | 0.0% |
| 0.000 | EPA / Pass vs Defensive EPA / Pass | 0.262 |
DUQ rushing vs WSU run defense
| 0.0 | Rushing YPG vs Rush yards allowed / G | 134.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Carry vs Yards / Carry allowed | 4.6 |
| 0.0 | Line yards (post-contact proxy) vs Stuff rate | 25.0% |
| 0.0% | Stuffed-run rate vs Tackles for loss | 2 |
| 0.000 | EPA / Rush vs Defensive EPA / Rush | 0.001 |
WSU passing vs DUQ coverage
| 0.0 | Pass yards allowed / G vs Passing YPG | 142.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards / Target allowed vs Completion % | 64.0% |
| 0.0% | Completion % allowed vs Yards / Attempt | 5.7 |
| 0.0% | Sack / pressure rate vs TD / INT ratio | 0.00:1 |
| 0.000 | Defensive EPA / Pass vs EPA / Pass | -0.084 |
Efficiency & situational
| — | Third-down conversion | 0.0% |
| 0.0 | Total yards / game | 242.0 |
| 0.0 | Yards allowed / game | 402.0 |
| 0 | Turnover margin | -3 |
Red-zone efficiency is not published in the official feed yet, so it is left out rather than estimated.